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The U.S. Market for In-Store Bakeries
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Feb 1, 1998
135 Pages - Pub ID: LA492
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I. Executive Summary
The Services
- ISBs Defined
- Not All Bakeries Are ISBs
- ISBs in Context
- ISB General Services: Fresh-Baked Goods and Customer Service Counter
Market Size and Growth
- ISB Sales Top $9 Billion in 1997
- Table 1-1: Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-2002 (dollars)
- Over 22,000 ISB Units in Operation
- Majority of Grocery Stores Operate ISBs
- Figure 1-1: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993 vs. 1997 (percent)
- Bread Is Top Product Category
- Demand for Baked Goods Gradually Increasing
- ISB Market Stands to Benefit from Population Shift
- Home Meal Replacement Role in ISBs
The Marketers
- Ten Supermarket Chains Lead the Way
- Small Chains Pitted Against Giants in Top 100
- ISBs Face Internal and External Competition
- ISBs Struggle to Define Their Mission
- ISBs Partner with Retail Bakeries
- Wholesale Companies Fight Back Against ISBs
- ISB Share of Baked Product Sales Increasing
- Baking Industry Spearheads Consumer Education Campaign
- Coffee Shop Craze Could Benefit Baking Industry
- Industry Trends
- Getting Aggressive About Category Management
- Labor Problem Will Continue to Define ISB Operations
- ISBs Confronting Home Meal Replacement
- More Traditional European and Premium Bread Offerings
- Ethnic Food Trend Presents Opportunity for ISBs
- ISBs Offering More Wedding Services
Retail Promotions and the Consumer
- Company Advertising Not Department-Specific
- Seasonal and Special Event Tie-Ins Gain in Popularity
- Fresh! Fresh! Fresh!
- ISBs Building Store-Branded Identity
- Seasonal Promotions Help ISBs Capitalize on Brisk Holiday Sales
- 20% of Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
- Customers Willing to Pay for Quality
Scope and Methodology
- Market Parameters
- Methodology
II. The Services
Scope of Report
- ISBs Defined
- Not All Bakeries Are ISBs
- ISBs in Context
ISB Characteristics
- ISB General Services: Fresh-Baked Goods and Customer Service Counter
- ISB Custom Services: From Cake Decoration to Catering
- ISB Products
- ISBs Also Sell Products Baked Off-Site
- ISBs Sell Non-Bakery Items
- Packaging and Labeling
- Location and Space: First in Traffic Pattern
- ISBs Allocate Small Percentage of Total Store Floor Space
- Standard ISB Equipment
- Business Hours: ISBs Create a Night Shift
- Specialized Labor Force: ISBs Face Challenge of Finding Skilled Labor
- Production and Service Create Dual Labor Demands
- Ingredient Suppliers
- Calculating Profitability: ISBs Must Factor More than Ingredient Costs into Margins
- Government Regulations
III. The Market
Figure 3-1: Estimated Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (dollars)
Figure 3-2: Estimated Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (number of units)
Market Size and Growth
- ISB Sales Top $9 Billion in 1997
- Table 3-1: Estimated Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (dollars)
- ISB Sales Are Steady
- Over 22,000 ISB Units in Operation
- Table 3-2: Estimated Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997
- Majority of Grocery Stores Operate Some Type of ISB
- Figure 3-3: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993 vs. 1997 (percent)
- Table 3-3: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (percent)
- Figure 3-4: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Baked Goods Sales, 1991 vs. 1997 (percent)
- Figure 3-5: Share of ISB Product Sales by Product Category, 1997 (percent): 5 Product Categories and Other
Market Composition
- ISBs Command Small But Growing Percentage of Supermarket Sales
- Table 3-4: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Sales, 1993-1997 (percent)
- ISB Sales Gaining on Packaged Baked Goods Sales
- Table 3-5: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Baked Goods Sales, 1991-1997 (percent)
- ISB Retail Sales by Product Category
- Table 3-6: Share of ISB Product Sales by Product Category, 1997 (percent): 12 Product Categories
- ISBs Offering More European and Premium Breads
- Cakes Remain a Strong Category for ISBs
- Figure 3-6: Average Annual Consumer Expenditures on Bakery Products, 1990-1995 (dollars)
Factors Affecting Market Growth
- Demand for Baked Goods Gradually Increasing
- Table 3-7: Average Annual Consumer Expenditures on Bakery Products, 1990-1995
- Overall Food Expenditures Continue to Grow
- Table 3-8: U.S. Consumer Food Expenditures, 1993-1995 (dollars): Food at Home, Food Away from Home, Total Annual Food Expenditure
- ISB Market Stands to Benefit from Population Shift
- Table 3-9: Percent Distribution of U.S. Population by Age Bracket, 1995-2005 (percent): Age Under 5 to 65 and Over
- Table 3-10: Average Annual Bakery Product Expenditures of Consumers by Age (dollars): Age Under 25 to 65 and Over
- Supermarkets Must Cater to Aging Population
- And Woo Younger Shoppers
- Foodservice Industry Growth Could Help or Hurt ISBs
- Home Meal Replacement Role in ISBs
- Heavy Competition from Specialty Bread Shops and Bakery Cafés Supermarket Response to Labor Problem Threatens ISBs
- Figure 3-7: Projected Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (dollars)
- Figure 3-8: Projected Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (number of units)
Projected Market Growth
- Market to Top $11 Billion by Year 2000
- Table 3-11: Projected Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (dollars)
- ISB Units to Number 24,739 by 2002
- Table 3-12: Projected Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002
IV. The Marketers
The Marketers
- Ten Supermarket Chains Lead the Way
- Safeway Acquires Vons
- Wal-Mart Also Among Top Players
- Small Chains Pitted Against Giants in Top 100
- Wal-Mart Supercenter Takes Lead in Supercenter ISBs
- Whole Foods Market Leads Natural Food Supermarket ISBs
- Table 4-1: Top 100 In-Store Bakery Companies
Competitive Overview
- ISBs Face Internal and External Competition
- ISBs Struggle to Define Their Mission
- Bigger ISBs for Bigger Market Share
- The Standardization Issue
- Trying to Rise Above the Crowd
- ISB Inroads Into Wholesaler Turf Fuel New Foodservice Niche
- ISBs Partner with Retail Bakeries
External Competition
- Retail Bakeries Work Hard to Compete
- Table 4-2: Total Nonfrozen Bakery Product Sales by Type of U.S. Food Retailer, 1982-1997 (dollars)
- ISBs Compete with Growing Number of Bagel Outlets
- Table 4-3: U.S. Retail Bagel Sales by Type of Outlet, 1997 (dollars and percent): 5 Types Retail Outlet
- Number of Bakery Cafés Growing
- Wholesale Companies Fight Back Against ISBs
- Table 4-4: In-Store Bakery and Baked Goods Share of Grocery and Supermarket Sales, 1992-1996 (percent)
- ISB Share of Baked Product Sales Increasing
- The Branded Versus Private-Label Skirmish
- Effect of Wholesale Baking Industry Consolidation
- Baking Industry Spearheads Consumer Education Campaign
- Coffee Shop Craze Could Benefit Baking Industry
Competitive Profile: A&P (The Great A&P Tea Co., Inc.)
- Retailing Food Since 1859
- The Great A&P ISB
Competitive Profile: Albertson's, Inc
- Company Overview
- Albertson's In-Store Bakery
- Product Variety and Product Origin
- Albertson's Jumps on Premium Bread Bandwagon
Competitive Profile: American Stores Company
- A Food and Drug Empire
- American Stores Company's ISB
Competitive Profile: Food Lion, Inc.
- Food Lion: Official Supermarket of NASCAR
- Food Lion's In-Store Bakery
Competitive Profile: Harding's Friendly Markets
- An Independent Michigan Chain
- Harding's In-Store Bakery Features Scratch Baking
Competitive Profile: The Kroger Company
- Kroger at Top of Supermarket Food Chain
- Kroger Seeks to Streamline Bakery Costs at Manufacturing Centers
- Kroger's In-Store Bakery
- Some Stores Adding Catering Divisions
- Kroger Experimenting with In-Store Coffeehouse
Competitive Profile: Safeway, Inc
- Company Overview
- Safeway's In-Store Bakery
Competitive Profile: Stater Bros. Markets
- A Los Angeles Tradition
- The Stater Bros. In-Store Bakery
Competitive Profile: Wal-Mart Supercenter (Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.)
- The Wal-Mart Empire
- Supercenter ISB Units Proliferating Rapidly
- Table 4-5: Projected Wal-Mart Supercenter ISB Unit Growth (number and percent)
- The Wal-Mart Supercenter ISB
- Product Variety and Product Origin
- Table 4-6: Selected Wal-Mart Supercenter Prices, 1997
- Supercenter ISB Combination of Service and Self-Service
- Supercenters Offer Limited Custom Services and Catering
- Wal-Mart Takes Bakery Online
- Table 4-7: Selected Wal-Mart Online Cake Prices, 1997 ISB Production Method: Primarily Bake-Off
Competitive Profile: Whole Foods Market, Inc
- The Nation's Leading Health Food Grocer
- The Whole Foods Environment
- The Whole Foods In-Store Bakery
- Whole Foods ISB Is Customer-Service Driven
- Whole Foods Production Methods Split
- Whole Foods ISB Selection and Pricing
- Table 4-8a: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Breads Baked Off Site, 1997 (dollars): 14 Items
- Table 4-8b: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Breads Baked On Site, 1997 (dollars): 11 Items
- Table 4-8c: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Miscellaneous Goods Baked On Site, 1997 (dollars): 7 Items
- The History of Whole Foods
- Growth Through Acquisition
- Growth Through New Store Openings
- Whole Foods Commits to Private Label
- Licensing Agreement with Jamba Juice Co
- Advertising and Promotional Programs
- Future Plans
Competitive Profile: Winn-Dixie Stores, Inc
- Driving Force in Southern Grocery Market
- Winn-Dixie Puts Its Money Behind Its Marketplace Format
- Winn-Dixie's In-Store Bakery
- Winn-Dixie ISB Reflects Industry Trend Towards Self-Service
- Winn-Dixie Offers Limited Custom Services and Catering
- ISB Production Method: Primarily Bake-Off
Industry Trends
- Getting Aggressive About Category Management
- Labor Problem Will Continue to Define ISB Operations
- ISBs Confronting Home Meal Replacement
- Supermarket Trend Towards In-Store Foodservice Outlets Affects ISBs
- ISBs Moving Towards More Traditional European and Premium Bread Offerings
- Ethnic Food Trend Presents Opportunity for ISBs
- ISBs Featuring Smaller Cake Sizes
- ISBs Offering More Wedding Services
- ISBs Consider Move Towards Exotic and Upscale
V. Retail Promotions and the Consumer
Promotion and Merchandising Trends
- Company Advertising Not Department-Specific
- Seasonal and Special Event Tie-Ins Gain in Popularity
- Table 5-1: Merchandising Strategies Utilized by In-Store Bakeries (index): 10 Merchandising Strategies
- Fresh! Fresh! Fresh!
- ISBs Building Store-Branded Identity
- Premium Breads Bring Upscale and Health-Focused Advertising to the ISB
- Seasonal Promotions Help ISBs Capitalize on Brisk Holiday Sales Custom-Decorated Cake Promotions
- Convenience and Production Visibility Key Merchandising Ploys
- ISBs Court Customers by Baking Throughout the Day
The Consumer
- Notes on Simmons Market Research Bureau Data
- Simmons Data on In-Store Bakeries
- 20% of Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
- Consumers in the 45-54 Age Range Constitute 20% of Customers
- Educated and Professional Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
- Northeasterners and Upper Income Shoppers Are Prime Bakery Shoppers
- Table 5-2: Demographic Characteristics Favoring Shopping at U.S. Bakery Stores, 1997
- Households with Children Are Important Bakery Customers
- The RBA Consumer Survey
- Customers Willing to Pay for Quality
- Sweets Are High-Impulse Purchases
- Decorated Cakes and Variety Breads Are Low-Impulse Items
- Factors Affecting Impulse Purchases
- American Consumers Are Nutritionally Conscious
- Consumers Perceive Bread as Healthful
Appendix I: Advertisements. This appendix appears in bound editions only.
Appendix II: Top 100 In-Store Bakery Headquaters
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