The U.S. Market for In-Store Bakeries

Feb 1, 1998
135 Pages - Pub ID: LA492
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I. Executive Summary

    The Services
  • ISBs Defined
  • Not All Bakeries Are ISBs
  • ISBs in Context
  • ISB General Services: Fresh-Baked Goods and Customer Service Counter
    Market Size and Growth
  • ISB Sales Top $9 Billion in 1997
  • Table 1-1: Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-2002 (dollars)
  • Over 22,000 ISB Units in Operation
  • Majority of Grocery Stores Operate ISBs
  • Figure 1-1: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993 vs. 1997 (percent)
  • Bread Is Top Product Category
  • Demand for Baked Goods Gradually Increasing
  • ISB Market Stands to Benefit from Population Shift
  • Home Meal Replacement Role in ISBs
    The Marketers
  • Ten Supermarket Chains Lead the Way
  • Small Chains Pitted Against Giants in Top 100
  • ISBs Face Internal and External Competition
  • ISBs Struggle to Define Their Mission
  • ISBs Partner with Retail Bakeries
  • Wholesale Companies Fight Back Against ISBs
  • ISB Share of Baked Product Sales Increasing
  • Baking Industry Spearheads Consumer Education Campaign
  • Coffee Shop Craze Could Benefit Baking Industry
  • Industry Trends
  • Getting Aggressive About Category Management
  • Labor Problem Will Continue to Define ISB Operations
  • ISBs Confronting Home Meal Replacement
  • More Traditional European and Premium Bread Offerings
  • Ethnic Food Trend Presents Opportunity for ISBs
  • ISBs Offering More Wedding Services
    Retail Promotions and the Consumer
  • Company Advertising Not Department-Specific
  • Seasonal and Special Event Tie-Ins Gain in Popularity
  • Fresh! Fresh! Fresh!
  • ISBs Building Store-Branded Identity
  • Seasonal Promotions Help ISBs Capitalize on Brisk Holiday Sales
  • 20% of Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
  • Customers Willing to Pay for Quality
    Scope and Methodology
  • Market Parameters
  • Methodology

II. The Services

    Scope of Report
  • ISBs Defined
  • Not All Bakeries Are ISBs
  • ISBs in Context
    ISB Characteristics
  • ISB General Services: Fresh-Baked Goods and Customer Service Counter
  • ISB Custom Services: From Cake Decoration to Catering
  • ISB Products
  • ISBs Also Sell Products Baked Off-Site
  • ISBs Sell Non-Bakery Items
  • Packaging and Labeling
  • Location and Space: First in Traffic Pattern
  • ISBs Allocate Small Percentage of Total Store Floor Space
  • Standard ISB Equipment
  • Business Hours: ISBs Create a Night Shift
  • Specialized Labor Force: ISBs Face Challenge of Finding Skilled Labor
  • Production and Service Create Dual Labor Demands
  • Ingredient Suppliers
  • Calculating Profitability: ISBs Must Factor More than Ingredient Costs into Margins
  • Government Regulations

III. The Market

    Figure 3-1: Estimated Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (dollars)
    Figure 3-2: Estimated Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (number of units)
    Market Size and Growth
  • ISB Sales Top $9 Billion in 1997
  • Table 3-1: Estimated Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (dollars)
  • ISB Sales Are Steady
  • Over 22,000 ISB Units in Operation
  • Table 3-2: Estimated Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997
  • Majority of Grocery Stores Operate Some Type of ISB
  • Figure 3-3: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993 vs. 1997 (percent)
  • Table 3-3: Share of U.S. Supermarkets with In-Store Bakeries, 1993-1997 (percent)
  • Figure 3-4: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Baked Goods Sales, 1991 vs. 1997 (percent)
  • Figure 3-5: Share of ISB Product Sales by Product Category, 1997 (percent): 5 Product Categories and Other
    Market Composition
  • ISBs Command Small But Growing Percentage of Supermarket Sales
  • Table 3-4: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Sales, 1993-1997 (percent)
  • ISB Sales Gaining on Packaged Baked Goods Sales
  • Table 3-5: ISB Share of Total Supermarket Baked Goods Sales, 1991-1997 (percent)
  • ISB Retail Sales by Product Category
  • Table 3-6: Share of ISB Product Sales by Product Category, 1997 (percent): 12 Product Categories
  • ISBs Offering More European and Premium Breads
  • Cakes Remain a Strong Category for ISBs
  • Figure 3-6: Average Annual Consumer Expenditures on Bakery Products, 1990-1995 (dollars)
    Factors Affecting Market Growth
  • Demand for Baked Goods Gradually Increasing
  • Table 3-7: Average Annual Consumer Expenditures on Bakery Products, 1990-1995
  • Overall Food Expenditures Continue to Grow
  • Table 3-8: U.S. Consumer Food Expenditures, 1993-1995 (dollars): Food at Home, Food Away from Home, Total Annual Food Expenditure
  • ISB Market Stands to Benefit from Population Shift
  • Table 3-9: Percent Distribution of U.S. Population by Age Bracket, 1995-2005 (percent): Age Under 5 to 65 and Over
  • Table 3-10: Average Annual Bakery Product Expenditures of Consumers by Age (dollars): Age Under 25 to 65 and Over
  • Supermarkets Must Cater to Aging Population
  • And Woo Younger Shoppers
  • Foodservice Industry Growth Could Help or Hurt ISBs
  • Home Meal Replacement Role in ISBs
  • Heavy Competition from Specialty Bread Shops and Bakery Cafés Supermarket Response to Labor Problem Threatens ISBs
  • Figure 3-7: Projected Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (dollars)
  • Figure 3-8: Projected Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (number of units)
    Projected Market Growth
  • Market to Top $11 Billion by Year 2000
  • Table 3-11: Projected Retail Sales of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002 (dollars)
  • ISB Units to Number 24,739 by 2002
  • Table 3-12: Projected Number of U.S. In-Store Bakeries, 1997-2002

IV. The Marketers

    The Marketers
  • Ten Supermarket Chains Lead the Way
  • Safeway Acquires Vons
  • Wal-Mart Also Among Top Players
  • Small Chains Pitted Against Giants in Top 100
  • Wal-Mart Supercenter Takes Lead in Supercenter ISBs
  • Whole Foods Market Leads Natural Food Supermarket ISBs
  • Table 4-1: Top 100 In-Store Bakery Companies
    Competitive Overview
  • ISBs Face Internal and External Competition
  • ISBs Struggle to Define Their Mission
  • Bigger ISBs for Bigger Market Share
  • The Standardization Issue
  • Trying to Rise Above the Crowd
  • ISB Inroads Into Wholesaler Turf Fuel New Foodservice Niche
  • ISBs Partner with Retail Bakeries
    External Competition
  • Retail Bakeries Work Hard to Compete
  • Table 4-2: Total Nonfrozen Bakery Product Sales by Type of U.S. Food Retailer, 1982-1997 (dollars)
  • ISBs Compete with Growing Number of Bagel Outlets
  • Table 4-3: U.S. Retail Bagel Sales by Type of Outlet, 1997 (dollars and percent): 5 Types Retail Outlet
  • Number of Bakery Cafés Growing
  • Wholesale Companies Fight Back Against ISBs
  • Table 4-4: In-Store Bakery and Baked Goods Share of Grocery and Supermarket Sales, 1992-1996 (percent)
  • ISB Share of Baked Product Sales Increasing
  • The Branded Versus Private-Label Skirmish
  • Effect of Wholesale Baking Industry Consolidation
  • Baking Industry Spearheads Consumer Education Campaign
  • Coffee Shop Craze Could Benefit Baking Industry
    Competitive Profile: A&P (The Great A&P Tea Co., Inc.)
  • Retailing Food Since 1859
  • The Great A&P ISB
    Competitive Profile: Albertson's, Inc
  • Company Overview
  • Albertson's In-Store Bakery
  • Product Variety and Product Origin
  • Albertson's Jumps on Premium Bread Bandwagon
    Competitive Profile: American Stores Company
  • A Food and Drug Empire
  • American Stores Company's ISB
    Competitive Profile: Food Lion, Inc.
  • Food Lion: Official Supermarket of NASCAR
  • Food Lion's In-Store Bakery
    Competitive Profile: Harding's Friendly Markets
  • An Independent Michigan Chain
  • Harding's In-Store Bakery Features Scratch Baking
    Competitive Profile: The Kroger Company
  • Kroger at Top of Supermarket Food Chain
  • Kroger Seeks to Streamline Bakery Costs at Manufacturing Centers
  • Kroger's In-Store Bakery
  • Some Stores Adding Catering Divisions
  • Kroger Experimenting with In-Store Coffeehouse
    Competitive Profile: Safeway, Inc
  • Company Overview
  • Safeway's In-Store Bakery
    Competitive Profile: Stater Bros. Markets
  • A Los Angeles Tradition
  • The Stater Bros. In-Store Bakery
    Competitive Profile: Wal-Mart Supercenter (Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.)
  • The Wal-Mart Empire
  • Supercenter ISB Units Proliferating Rapidly
  • Table 4-5: Projected Wal-Mart Supercenter ISB Unit Growth (number and percent)
  • The Wal-Mart Supercenter ISB
  • Product Variety and Product Origin
  • Table 4-6: Selected Wal-Mart Supercenter Prices, 1997
  • Supercenter ISB Combination of Service and Self-Service
  • Supercenters Offer Limited Custom Services and Catering
  • Wal-Mart Takes Bakery Online
  • Table 4-7: Selected Wal-Mart Online Cake Prices, 1997 ISB Production Method: Primarily Bake-Off
    Competitive Profile: Whole Foods Market, Inc
  • The Nation's Leading Health Food Grocer
  • The Whole Foods Environment
  • The Whole Foods In-Store Bakery
  • Whole Foods ISB Is Customer-Service Driven
  • Whole Foods Production Methods Split
  • Whole Foods ISB Selection and Pricing
  • Table 4-8a: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Breads Baked Off Site, 1997 (dollars): 14 Items
  • Table 4-8b: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Breads Baked On Site, 1997 (dollars): 11 Items
  • Table 4-8c: Selected Whole Foods ISB Prices: Miscellaneous Goods Baked On Site, 1997 (dollars): 7 Items
  • The History of Whole Foods
  • Growth Through Acquisition
  • Growth Through New Store Openings
  • Whole Foods Commits to Private Label
  • Licensing Agreement with Jamba Juice Co
  • Advertising and Promotional Programs
  • Future Plans
    Competitive Profile: Winn-Dixie Stores, Inc
  • Driving Force in Southern Grocery Market
  • Winn-Dixie Puts Its Money Behind Its Marketplace Format
  • Winn-Dixie's In-Store Bakery
  • Winn-Dixie ISB Reflects Industry Trend Towards Self-Service
  • Winn-Dixie Offers Limited Custom Services and Catering
  • ISB Production Method: Primarily Bake-Off
    Industry Trends
  • Getting Aggressive About Category Management
  • Labor Problem Will Continue to Define ISB Operations
  • ISBs Confronting Home Meal Replacement
  • Supermarket Trend Towards In-Store Foodservice Outlets Affects ISBs
  • ISBs Moving Towards More Traditional European and Premium Bread Offerings
  • Ethnic Food Trend Presents Opportunity for ISBs
  • ISBs Featuring Smaller Cake Sizes
  • ISBs Offering More Wedding Services
  • ISBs Consider Move Towards Exotic and Upscale

V. Retail Promotions and the Consumer

    Promotion and Merchandising Trends
  • Company Advertising Not Department-Specific
  • Seasonal and Special Event Tie-Ins Gain in Popularity
  • Table 5-1: Merchandising Strategies Utilized by In-Store Bakeries (index): 10 Merchandising Strategies
  • Fresh! Fresh! Fresh!
  • ISBs Building Store-Branded Identity
  • Premium Breads Bring Upscale and Health-Focused Advertising to the ISB
  • Seasonal Promotions Help ISBs Capitalize on Brisk Holiday Sales Custom-Decorated Cake Promotions
  • Convenience and Production Visibility Key Merchandising Ploys
  • ISBs Court Customers by Baking Throughout the Day
    The Consumer
  • Notes on Simmons Market Research Bureau Data
  • Simmons Data on In-Store Bakeries
  • 20% of Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
  • Consumers in the 45-54 Age Range Constitute 20% of Customers
  • Educated and Professional Consumers Shop at Bakery Stores
  • Northeasterners and Upper Income Shoppers Are Prime Bakery Shoppers
  • Table 5-2: Demographic Characteristics Favoring Shopping at U.S. Bakery Stores, 1997
  • Households with Children Are Important Bakery Customers
  • The RBA Consumer Survey
  • Customers Willing to Pay for Quality
  • Sweets Are High-Impulse Purchases
  • Decorated Cakes and Variety Breads Are Low-Impulse Items
  • Factors Affecting Impulse Purchases
  • American Consumers Are Nutritionally Conscious
  • Consumers Perceive Bread as Healthful

Appendix I: Advertisements. This appendix appears in bound editions only.

Appendix II: Top 100 In-Store Bakery Headquaters

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