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The U.S. Kids' Foods Market
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Mar 1, 1998
284 Pages - Pub ID: LA495
Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.
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I. Executive Summary
The Products
- Marketers Meet Demand for Kids' Foods
- Packaging Meets Kids' Needs and Desires
- FDA Labeling Standards
- Market Definition: Foods Designed for or Targeted to Kids
The Market
- Sales to Near $11.6 Billion by 2002
- Table 1-1: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods by Category, 1995-2002 (dollars)
- Cereal Leads Kids' Food Sales
- Figure 1-1: Estimated Share of Kids' Food Retail Sales by Category, 1997 (percent): 5 Product Categories
- Factors Affecting Market Growth
- Age 5-14 Population Will Approach 41 Million by 2000
- Kids Spend $7 Billion a Year on Food and Beverages
- Media Urges Kids to Spend
- The Marketing Quest for Lifelong Loyalty
- Restaurants Vie for Kids' Food Dollar
The Marketers
- Five Categories Attract Plethora of Players
- Food Giants Rule
- Most Marketers Are Multi-Category
- Three Companies Claim Half of Kids' Food Sales
- Ten Marketers Account for One-Third of Sales
- Brand Strength and Innovation Are Name of the Game
- Giants Dominate Most Kids' Food Segments
- Specialty Marketers Find Niches
- Marketing Trends
- Catching Kids' Interest Is Tricky
- Fads, Novelties Spur Interest
- Co-Branding Successes Inspire More
- Licensing Aggressive and Competitive
- Packaging Revamps Maximize Eye Appeal
- Holidays Add Novelty to Established or New Products
- New Product Trends
- Over $800 Million Spent on Advertising in 1996
Distribution and Retail
- Distribution Methods Vary
- Pricing on the Shelf
- Cereal
- Lunch Foods and Snacks
- Beverages
- Meals and Entrees
- Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties
The Consumer
- Kids Population Will Reach 41 Million by Year 2001
- Kids Market Really Several Markets
- Kids More Independent; Assume Role in Running Household
- Kids Derive Income from Three Sources
- Kids Spend Over $7 Billion a Year on Food and Beverages
- A Nation of Snackers
- Most Kids Eat Breakfast
Scope and Methodology
- Scope of Report
- Products Excluded from Market Definition
II. The Products
Introduction
- Marketers Meet Demand for Kids' Foods
Scope of Report
- Market Definition: Foods Designed for or Targeted to Kids
- Packaging Meets Kids' Needs and Desires
- Products Excluded from Kids' Foods Market Definition
- Five Product Categories
Cereals
- Sugared Cereals the Quintessential Kids' Food
- Ingredients
- Packaging and Labeling
Lunch Foods and Snacks
- A Broad and Subjective Category
- Cookies and Baked Goods
- Peanut Butter
- Lunch Packs
- Yogurts, Puddings, and Gelatins
- Fruit Snacks
Beverages
- Three Forms of Kids' Beverages
Meals and Entrees
- Breakfast, Lunch, and Dinner Products Included
- Breakfast Entrees
- Dinner Entrees
Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties
- Kid-Appeal Defines the Category
Nutrition Labeling
- FDA Labeling Standards
III. The Market
Figure 3-1: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods, 1994-1997 (dollars)
Market Size and Growth
- Methodology for Sales Estimates
- Retail Sales $9.3 Billion in 1997
- Table 3-1: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods, 1994-1997 (dollars)
- Cereal Leads Kids' Food Sales
- Table 3-2: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods by Category, 1995-1997 (dollars): 5 Product Categories
- Lunch Foods and Snacks in Second Place
- Table 3-3: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Lunch Foods and Snacks by Segment, 1995-1997 (dollars): 5 Product Segments
- Figure 3-2: Estimated Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Kids' Foods by Product Category, 1996 vs. 1997 (percent): 5 Product Categories
- Kids' Beverages Rank Third
- Meals and Entrees Are Fourth
- Table 3-4: Estimated U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Meals and Entrees by Segment, 1995-1997 (dollars): Breakfast, Dinner
- Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties Small But Growing
Market Composition
- Cereals a Third of the Market
- Table 3-5: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Kids' Foods by Product Category, 1996 vs. 1997 (percent): 5 Product Categories
- Cookies and Baked Goods Lead Lunch Foods and Snacks Category
- Table 3-6: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Kids' Lunch Foods and Snacks by Segment, 1996 vs. 1997 (percent): 5 Product Segments
- Breakfast Segment Leads Meals and Entrees Category
- Table 3-7: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Kids' Meals and Entrees by Segment, 1996 vs. 1997 (percent): Breakfast, Dinner
- Cereals Lead Market Decline
- Table 3-8: Retail Dollar Change in Kids' Food Sales by Product Category, 1996 vs. 1997 (dollars): 5 Product Categories
Factors Affecting Market Growth
- Population of 5- to 14-Year-Olds Will Approach 41 Million by 2000 Table 3-9: Projected Growth of U.S. Population Age 5-14, 1995-2050 (number and percent)
- Kids Spend $7 Billion a Year on Food and Beverages
- Media Urges Kids to Spend
- The Marketing Quest for Lifelong Loyalty
- Snacking the Rule in Kids' Food World
- Modern Families Require Quicker, More Convenient Foods
- Do Kids Care About "Healthy"?
- The Parent Factor
- Juice a Shining Example of Kids' Foods Market Strength
- Restaurants Vie for Kids' Food Dollar
- Many Kids' Foods Decline in Recessionary Periods
- Regulatory Environment May Toughen
- Figure 3-3: Projected U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods, 1997-2002 (dollars)
Projected Market Growth
- Sales to Near $11.6 Billion by 2002
- Table 3-10: Projected U.S. Retail Sales of Kids' Foods, 1997-2002 (dollars)
IV. The Marketers
The Marketers
- Five Categories Attract Plethora of Players
- Food Giants Rule
- Most Marketers Are Multi-Category
- Table 4-1: U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Top Ten Marketers and Their Product Categories
- Table 4-2: U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Leading Marketers and Brands (82 Marketers and Their Brands)
Marketer and Brand Share: Overall Market
- Three Companies Claim Half of Kids' Food Sales
- Ten Marketers Account for One-Third of Sales
- Kellogg Slips, Philip Morris Gains
- Table 4-3: Estimated Marketer Share of U.S. Kids' Food Retail Dollar Sales, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent): 12 Marketers
Marketer and Brand Share: Cereal
- Kellogg Down in Share, General Mills and Post Up
- Table 4-4: Estimated Marketer Share of U.S. Kids' Food Retail Dollar Sales: Cereals, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent): 5 Marketers/48 Brands
- Kellogg's Lead Narrows
- Table 4-5: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Cereals, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 6 Marketers and 39 Brands
- Post Charts Biggest Percentage Point Gain
- Sales Down for Quaker Oats and Ralcorp, Up for Malt-O-Meal
Marketer and Brand Share: Lunch Foods and Snacks
- Five Marketers Make Up 57% of Kids' Lunch Foods and Snacks Category
- Table 4-6: Estimated Marketer Share of U.S. Kids' Food Retail Sales: Lunch Foods and Snacks, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent): 12 Marketers
- Next Seven Marketers Sew Up Nearly 30% of Sales
- RJR Number-One Cookie and Baked Goods Marketer
- Table 4-7: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Cookies and Baked Goods, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 12 Marketers
- Procter & Gamble Leads Peanut Butter Segment
- Table 4-8: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Peanut Butter, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 11 Marketers
- Oscar Mayer Dominates Lunch Pack Segment
- Table 4-9: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Lunch Packs, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 3 Marketers/7 Brands
- ConAgra Leads in Kids' Yogurts, Puddings, and Gelatins
- Table 4-10: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Yogurts, Puddings, and Gelatins, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 5 Marketers/20 Brands
- General Mills Dominates Fruit Snacks
- Table 4-11: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Fruit Snacks, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 8 Marketers/29 Brands
Marketer and Brand Share: Beverages
- Four Major Companies Battle Over Kids' Beverages
- Table 4-12: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Beverages, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 18 Marketers/26 Brands
Marketer and Brand Share: Meals and Entrees
- Kellogg Leads Category
- Table 4-13: Estimated Marketer Share of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Meals and Entrees, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent): 8 Marketers
- Kellogg Dominates Breakfast Segment
- Table 4-14: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Breakfast Entrees, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 5 Marketers/7 Products
- Campbell Maintains Lead in Dinner Entrees
- Table 4-15: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Dinner Entrees, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 5 Marketers/6 Brands
Marketer and Brand Share: Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties
- Unilever on Top with Good Humor-Breyers
- Table 4-16: Estimated Marketer Share and Retail Sales of U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties, 1995 vs. 1996 (percent and dollars): 12 Marketers/23 Brands
The Competitive Situation
- Brand Strength and Innovation Are Name of the Game
- Giants Dominate Most Kids' Food Segments
- Specialty Marketers Find Niches
- Competition Can Be Direct, Indirect, or Across Categories
- Seasonality Influences Sales
- Cereal Giants Face Competition from Private Labels
- Peanut Butter Market Mature
- Lunch Packs Inspire Competition
- Yogurts, Puddings, and Gelatins Proliferate
- Fruit Snack Segment Constantly Churning Out New Offerings
- Many Marketers Compete in Kids' Beverages Category
- Meals and Entrees Not Diverse
- Ice Cream Category Dominated by a Few Players
Competitive Profile: Kellogg Company
- Major Cereal Marketer with Roots in Midwest
- Marketer Holds Commanding Share in Multiple Kids' Food Categories
- Cocoa Frosted Flakes and Razzle Dazzle Rice Krispies
- Takeover Interest, International Expansion in Future
Competitive Profile: General Mills
- Cereals Part of Marketer's Basket of Brand Offerings
- Cereal War Latest Landmark in Long History of Food Marketing
- Acquisition Takes Ralcorp Out of Branded Kids' Cereal Market
- Strength in New Product Introductions, Yogurts, Puddings, and Gelatins
Competitive Profile: Philip Morris Companies, Inc.
- Consumer Product Giant Markets Powerhouse Food and Tobacco Brands
- Recent Comer to The Kids' Foods Market
- Kool-Aid on Top of Kids' Beverage Category
- Food Buffer Against Tobacco Woes
Competitive Profile: The Procter & Gamble Company
- A Cupboard Full of Brands
- P&G Knows Consumer Products
- Lackluster Sales Mark Recent Performance
- Sunny Delight Shining Example of Kids' Food Success
- P&G Brings Olestra to Market
- Moving Away from Food?
Competitive Profile: Nestlé S.A
- Swiss Company Markets Much More Than Chocolate
- Significant Position in Kids' Foods Market
- Convenience Foods and Snacking Mark Current Course and Future Direction
Competitive Profile: ConAgra, Inc
- Grain Belt Corporation Covers All Aspects of Food Production
- A Proliferation of Consumer Products
- ConAgra Taps Kids' Foods Market with Major Offerings
- Revamp Hits Hard But Should Solidify Growth
Competitive Profile: Campbell Soup Company
- Dominant Soup Marketer Fields Variety of Foods
- Goldfish a Popular Kids' Offering
- Goldfish Help Lead Pepperidge Farm Sales Improvement
- Franco-American, Campbell Soup Brands Court Kids
- Swanson Spin-Off Imminent
- U.S. Sales Flat
Competitive Profile: Quaker Oats Co.
- Millers' Trust Spawns Major Cereal and Food Product Company
- Hot, Cold Cereal Targeted to Kids
- "Kids Monitor" Keeps Pulse of Younger Set
- Beverage Disasters and New Directions
- New Directions May Enhance Quaker's Sales
Competitive Profile: Unilever
- Supermarket Shelves Full of Unilever Products
- Acquisition Yields Position in Kids' Foods Market
- Deep Pockets Purchased Ice Cream Position
- Hundreds of Ice Cream Products Under Good Humor-Breyers
- Co-Branding and Licensing Abundant in Good Humor
- Paring The Unilever Tree
Competitive Profile: RJR Nabisco Holdings Corp
- In the Upper Ranks of the Fortune 500
- Nabisco Biscuit Dominates Cookies and Crackers
- Extension Strategy Adds Kids' Food Offerings
- Weakness Inspires Paring Back Brands
Competitive Profile: The Coca-Cola Company
- Flagship Cola Product One of Many Brands
- Hi-C a Perennial Favorite
- Company Direction Unchanged Following Goizueta's Death
Competitive Profile: Bestfoods
- New Name Reflects Core Business
- Skippy Brand Number Two in United States
- Looking Outward for Growth
Marketing Trends
- Catching Kids' Interest Is Tricky
- Fads, Novelties Spur Interest
- Kids' Foods Trendy But Timeless
- Co-Branding Successes Inspire More
- Licensing Aggressive and Competitive
- Names Convey Personality of Product
- Gross is Good
- Packaging is Powerful
- Packaging Revamps Maximize Eye Appeal Holidays Add Novelty to Established or New Products TV Marketing Gets Creative
- Philanthropy Promoted Frequently
New Product Trends
- New Products, Line Extensions Key to Survival
- Kids Prefer Extreme Flavors, Bright Colors, Fun Shapes
- Dips, Sprinkles, and Toppings Continue to Excite
- Interactivity Makes Playing with Food Acceptable
- Make-It-Yourself
- Mexican Food Meets Lunch Packs
- Cookie Shapes
- Fruit Snacks
- Shelf-Stable Juice Concentrates on Tap Milk-Based, Flavored Drinks: An Emerging Beverage Choice?
- Non-Kid Beverages Try for Kid Consumers
- Table 4-17: U.S. Kids' Foods Market: Selected New Product Introductions, 1996-1997
Consumer Advertising Expenditures
- Over $800 Million Spent in 1996
- Additional Promotional Expenditures
- Top Three Advertisers Spend $561 Million of Total Measured Expenditures
- Kellogg Spends the Most
- General Mills Also Spends Heavily
- Philip Morris Third in Measured Advertising Expenditures
- Second-Tier Marketers Spend $101 Million
- Third-Tier Marketers Account for $57 Million in Expenditures
- Remainder of Marketers Spend Almost $3 Million
Consumer Advertising Positioning
- Advertising a Powerful Tool
- TV Advertising Drives Sales
- Advertisements Promote Taste
- Fantasy Versus Reality: Pitches Depend on Age
- Freedom Cuts Across Age Segments
- Kid Ads Tie in Promotions
- Parent Ads Differ from Kid Ads
- Value
- For Kids, Performance More Important Than Nutrition
- Your Parents Won't/Will Understand
Consumer Promotions
- Promotions Essential to Success
- Adherence to Criteria Influence Success of Promotion
- Coupons the Most Frequent Promotion
- Admission Coupons Offer a Variation
- Many Kids' Food Products Include Package Promotions
- Cereal Prizes Drive Impulse Sales
- Mail-In Promotions Proliferate
- Television Promotions Are Big Business
- Internet Opens New Promotional Playing Field
- Goldfish Mobile Brings Kids' Foods on Location
- Examples of Consumer Promotions
Trade Promotions and Advertising
- Promotions Are Standard
- Trade Advertising
V. Distribution And Retail
Distribution
- Distribution Methods Vary
- Direct-Store-Delivery Brings Goods to Large Retailers
- Advantages of Direct-Store-Delivery
- Disadvantages of Direct-Store-Delivery
- Advantages of Warehouse Delivery
- Disadvantages of Warehouse Delivery
- Smaller Marketers Work Through Brokers
- Vending Machine Delivery: Standard and Alternative Distribution
- Marketers Target Consumer's Needs via Distribution
- Distribution Promoted to Consumer
Retail Overview
- Pricing on the Shelf
- Supermarket Business Is Major Data Source
At the Retail Level: Cereal
- Supermarkets Account for Majority of Sales
- Grocers Devote Considerable Space to Cereals
- Cereals Grouped by Marketer
- Margins Average Around 26%
At the Retail Level: Lunch Foods and Snacks
- Sales Predominantly Through Supermarkets
- Cookies and Baked Goods
- Peanut Butter Follows Standard Distribution for Dry Groceries
- Lunch Packs Follow Packaged Meat Distribution Pattern
- Kids' Yogurts Follow Standard Distribution Pattern
- Margins Low for Prepared Puddings and Gelatins
- Fruit Snacks Displayed with Cookies, Granola Bars, or Other Snacks
At the Retail Level: Beverages
- Distribution Is Standard
- Grocery Store Most Important Venue
- Juices Grouped by Marketer
- Powdered Drink Mixes and Milk Flavorings Sold Apart from Other Kids' Beverages
- Sunny Delight Sold in Refrigerator Case
- Beverage Margins Encompass Range
At the Retail Level: Meals and Entrees
- Kids' Food Distribution Patterns Follow Adult Entree Distribution
- Frozen Foods Follow Two Main Paths
- Grocery Stores Make Almost All Sales
- Freezer Space Scarce for Breakfast Foods
- Frozen Breakfast Entrees Average 34% Margins
- Toaster Pastries Sold Mainly Through Supermarkets
- Frozen Dinners Sold Overwhelmingly Through Supermarkets
- Freezer Case Space Is Precious
- Frozen Entrees Report High Margins
- Canned and Shelf-Stable Pasta Follow Standard Grocery Path
- Most Pasta Sales Through Grocery Stores
- Pasta Commands Considerable Shelf Space
At the Retail Level: Ice Cream and Frozen Novelties
- Competition Intense in Freezer Case
- Ice Cream and Novelty Margins Average 35%
At the Retail Level: Grocers Respond to Kids
- Kids Merit Attention, Retailers Discover
- Merchandising Techniques Account for Size, Proclivity to Play
- Licensing Reaches Retail Floor
- Marketers Assist at Retail
- Kid Centers Draw Parents
VI. The Consumer
Kids Population
- Over 39 Million Kids Age 5-14
- Kids Population Will Reach 41 Million by Year 2001
- Males Outnumber Females to Age 24
- Table 6-1: Share of U.S. Population Age 5-14 by Gender, 1997
- Kids Market Really Several Markets
- Developmental Issues Distinguish Children
- The Three Developmental Age Groups
- Table 6-2: Share of Kids Population by Age, 1997 (number and percent): From Age 5 to Age 14
- Kids Reflect Growing Diversity
- Table 6-3: Share of Kids Population by Race, 1997 (number and percent): White, Black, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, Native American
Family Status
- Percentage of Households with Children Declining
- Two-Parent Households Giving Way to One-Parent Households
- Only 7 of 10 Children Live in Two-Parent Household
- Only Child Predominates
- Table 6-4: Families by Number of Own Children Under 18 Years Old, 1996 (number and percent): No Children, One, Two, Three or More Children
- Both Parents Work in Majority of Kids' Households
- Kids More Independent; Assume Role in Running Household
- Kids Are Family-Oriented
Economic Status
- One-Third of All Children Live in or Near Poverty
- One-Third of Households with Kids 6-17 Are Middle Class
- One Third Live in Households with Incomes in Excess of $50,000
- Table 6-5: Household Income of Families with Children 6-17 Years Old, 1996 (number and percent): From Under $10,000 to $75,000 and Over
- Income Higher for Families with Kids 6-17
- Income Higher When Both Parents Work
- Kids Derive Income from Three Sources
- Kids' Allowances Have Grown, But They Don't Buy as Much as They Used To
- Gifts a Significant Source of Income
- Almost All of Kids' Income Is Discretionary
- ...But Kids Surprisingly Big on Saving
- Kids Spend Over $7 Billion a Year on Food and Beverages
Kids as Shoppers
- Evolution of a Shopper
- Cereals First Products Selected
- Kids Shop Alone by Age Six
- Kids Learn to Shop at Supermarkets
- Kids Shop Often
- Kids Buy on Impulse
- 70% of Purchase Decisions Made In-Store
- Kids Extremely Brand-Conscious
- Brand Loyalty Highest at Grocery Store
- Store Brands Seen as Inferior
- Kids Emulate Other—Particularly Older—Kids
- TV Advertising a Big Influence
- Children Take Advertising Seriously
Kids' Food Preferences
- A Nation of Snackers
- Nutrition Can Suffer on All-Snack Diet
- Most Kids Eat Breakfast
- Table 6-6: What Children Eat For Breakfast by Gender: Most Frequently Named Items (percent): 12 Items
- Kids' Top Five for Lunch
- Breakfast Foods Increasingly Eaten at Lunch
- Ethnic Foods Now Mainstream
- Beverages of Choice Include Soda, Juice
- Kids Like Dairy Foods
- Flavors Kids Like
Appendix I: Examples Of Consumer Advertising And Promotions
Appendix II: Addresses Of Selected Marketers
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