The Future of Food Retailing in the U.S.

Mar 1, 2006
262 Pages - Pub ID: LA1152349
Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.
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Chapter 1: Executive Summary
  • Scope and Methodology
    • Scope of Report
    • Report Methodology

  • Retail Channels
    • Overview: The Competitive Landscape
    • Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
    • Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
    • Merging vs. Emerging Channels

  • Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends, and Shopping Behavior
    • Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
    • Specialty Food Consumers
    • Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
    • Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
    • Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
    • Competition from Foodservice Grows
    • Convenience as a Market Driver
    • The Wellness Factor
    • Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
    • Channel Surfing

  • Retail Strategies
    • Location, Location, Location
    • Dominate—Or Get Out
    • Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
    • Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
    • Self-Service vs. More Service
    • Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
    • Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
    • Targeting Ethnic Shoppers
    • No “One Size Fits All”
    • Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants

  • Technology
    • Technology a Priority
    • The METRO Future Store
    • The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina
    • Emerging Technologies

  • Looking Ahead
    • Trends and Opportunities
    • Futuristic Technologies

Chapter 2: Retail Channels

  • Overview: The Competitive Landscape
  • Definition of Retail Channels
  • FMI Definitions of Store Formats
    • Traditional Grocery Stores
    • Non-Traditional Grocery Stores

  • Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
  • Market Share Shifts from Traditional Grocery Channels to Value Channels
  • Total Grocery Sales to Grow 12.5% by 2009, to $909 Billion
  • Food and Beverages Account for Half of Grocery Sales
  • Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
  • Table 2-1: Competitive Profiles of Retail Food and Beverage Channels, 2005
  • Merging vs. Emerging Channels
  • Recent Mergers and Acquisitions
    • Albertson's Sold
    • Winn-Dixie in Reorganization
    • European Investors Eye American Food Retailers

  • Traditional Grocery Channels
    • Supermarkets on the Defensive
    • Table 2-2: Top 10 U.S. Supermarket Chains by Retail Dollar Sales, 2004 (in millions)
      • Conventional Supermarket Chains Are Regional Players
      • Traditional Supermarkets Caught in the Middle
      • Ways to Compete Effectively Against Supercenters
      • Playing Both Ends Against the Middle
      • Oil Crunch Could Benefit Supermarkets

    • Ethnic Food Markets Evolving
    • Limited Assortment Chains Making Waves
    • Natural Foods Stores Challenge Conventional Supermarkets
    • Gourmet/Specialty Stores
    • Value Channels
      • Supercenters Gaining Ground
        • Wal-Mart Is the Nation’s Largest Food Retailer
        • Moving on Target
        • Meijer the Regional Supercenter Pioneer
        • Kmart Becoming an Also-Ran in Food
        • Supercenters Face Community Opposition

      • Warehouse Clubs Proliferating
      • Dollar Stores Adding More Food to Their Product Mix
      • Convenience Channels
        • C-stores Seek to Broaden Their Appeal
        • Drugstores Also Compete on Convenience Front

      • Alternative Channels
        • Vending Machines Offer Convenience 24/7
        • Other Alternative Channels Target Impulse Sales
        • Home Depot to Open Convenience Stores
        • Online Shopping: A Renaissance for Online Grocers

Chapter 3: Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends, and Shopping Behavior

  • Consumer Demographics
    • Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
    • Baby Boomers
    • Table 3-1: Projected Population of the United States by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010 (in thousands)
    • Echo Boomers
    • Generation X
    • Kids and Teenagers
    • Yoga Mamas
    • The Role of Gender
    • Specialty Food Consumers

  • The Multicultural Marketplace
    • Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
    • Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
    • Hispanics
      • How to Not Get Lost in Translation

    • African Americans
    • Asian Americans
    • Consumers of Kosher and Halal Foods

  • Lifestyle Trends
    • Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
    • Consumers Spend Less Time in the Kitchen
    • Competition from Foodservice Grows
    • More Eat In with Takeout
    • Desktop Dining the New Way of Life
    • Convenience as a Market Driver
    • The Wellness Factor
    • Variations in Consumer Attitudes About Eating by Retail Channel
    • Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
    • Ethical Shopping
    • “Premiumization”: A Taste for Luxury
    • Quality of Shopping Experience

  • Consumer Shopping Behavior
    • Channel Surfing
    • Table 3-2: % of Households Buying by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003
    • Shopping Frequency
    • Figure 3-1: Average Trips Per Shopper Per Month by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003
    • Shopping Trip Patterns
    • What Consumers Want
    • Shopper Demographics by Channel
      • Simmons Analysis
      • Supermarket Shoppers
      • Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shoppers
      • Convenience Store Shoppers
      • Drugstore Shoppers

    • Consumer Attitudes Toward Cooking and Food Shopping
    • The Impact of In-Store Advertising
    • Table 3-3: Supermarket/Food Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-4: Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-5: Convenience Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-6: Drugstore Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-7: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Really Enjoy Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-8: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try New Recipes, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-9: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Kitchen Is the Most Important Room in My Home, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-10: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try Out New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-11: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Usually First to Try New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-12: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Enjoy Eating Foreign Foods, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-13: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Try to Eat Gourmet Food Whenever I Can, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-14: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Look for the Freshest Ingredients, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-15: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Easy to Prepare Foods Are My Favorite, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-16: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Often Eat Store-Made, Pre-Cooked Meals, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-17: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Prefer Fast Food to Home Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-18: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shopping for Groceries Is a Bore, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-19: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shop for Specials or Bargains, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-20: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Always Look Out for Special Offers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-21: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on the Floor, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-22: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Messages/Offers at the Shelf, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-23: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Overhead Aisle Markers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-24: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on Shopping Cart, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-25: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Demonstrations, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-26: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Samples, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-27: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Computerized Information/Coupon Center, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-28: Shopper Indexes by Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: On the Internet, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-29: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Announcements In Store, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-30: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Radio/Public Address Announcements, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-31: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Video Monitor Displays, 2005 (U.S. adults)

Chapter 4: Retail Strategies

  • Location, Location, Location
  • Dominate—Or Get Out
  • When Smaller Is Better and Less Is More
    • Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
    • In Europe, Hypermarkets Losing Ground

  • Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
  • Razor-Thin Margins Are Standard Operating Procedure
  • Supermarket Slotting Fees: Will They Go by the Wayside?
  • Loyalty Programs
  • Category Management Roles Shifting
  • Self-Service vs. More Service
  • Self-Service Checkout
  • Home Delivery

  • Merchandise Solutions
    • Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
    • Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
    • Merchandising Health
    • Targeting Ethnic Shoppers

  • Lifestyle Stores & Other New Formats
    • No “One Size Fits All”
    • Lifestyle Stores
    • Unusual Layouts
    • Focusing on the Perimeter
    • Building Up Takeout
    • Re-Centering on the Center Store
    • Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants
    • Samples and Demos Becoming More Widespread

  • Long-Term Solutions
    • Retail Strategies That Work

    Chapter 5: Technology

    • The Store of the Future
      • Technology a Priority
      • The METRO Future Store
        • Personal Shopping Assistants (PSAs)
        • Self-Checkout
        • Smart Loyalty Card
        • Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
        • Smart Tags
        • Intelligent Scales
        • Interactive Information Terminals
        • Everywhere Display
        • Electronic Advertising Displays
        • Electronic Shelf Labels
        • Never-Empty Smart Shelves
        • Employee Personal Digital Assistants (PDAs)
        • Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN)
        • Test Results

      • The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina

    • Emerging Technologies
      • Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
      • Thumbs Up for Biometrics
        • Personal Shopping Assistants/Smart Carts Hand-Held Registers Interactive Kiosks
        • In-Store TV Advertising
          • Giant and Stop & Shop Offer Consumers Free WiFi

    Chapter 6: Retailer Profiles

    • Trend Profile: 7-Eleven, Inc.
    • World’s Largest Convenience Store Chain

  • Trend Profile: 99 Ranch Market
    • Asian Foods Specialist

  • Trend Profile: Amazon.com
    • The Online Bookseller Goes Gourmet

  • Trend Profile: Bloom, A Food Lion Market
    • The High-Tech Store to Watch
    • Another Food Lion Concept: Bottom Dollar

  • Trend Profile: Costco Wholesale Corp.
    • Overview
    • Fast Turn, Low Markup Create Competitive Edge
    • Focus Is Marketing, Not Advertising
    • How Far Can Costco Grow?

  • Trend Profile: Dollar General Corp.
    • The Dollar Store Leader—7,800 Stores and Growing
    • Growth Strategy

  • Trend Profile: FreshDirect, Inc.
    • Online Player Has Drive

  • Trend Profile: Publix Sabor
    • Targeting Florida’s Latino Population

  • Trend Profile: Safeway, Inc.
    • New Lifestyle Positioning
    • New Lifestyle Format Stores
    • Extensive Private-Label Program
    • Safeway.com
    • Safeway’s Wellness Initiatives

  • Trend Profile: Sam’s Club
    • No. 2 and Trying Harder

  • Trend Profile: Sheetz, Inc.
    • Convenience Stores Go Upscale

  • Trend Profile: Target
    • Off-Base in Food?

  • Trend Profile: Trader Joe’s Co., Inc.
    • The Offbeat Grocery Chain

  • Trend Profile: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.
    • Overview
    • Success…
    • …and Controversy
    • Supercenters
    • Neighborhood Market Stores
    • Private Label and More
    • Tailoring Merchandise Mix to Local Tastes
    • Aggressive Growth Strategy: Wal-Mart Plans to Get Even Bigger
    • Pioneering Technological Advancements

  • Trend Profile: Wegmans Food Markets, Inc.
    • The Quintessential Upscale Supermarket

  • Trend Profile: Whole Foods Market, Inc.
    • Overview
    • Product Selection and Private Label
    • Growth Strategy
    • Looking Ahead

    Chapter 7: Looking Ahead

    • Meal Preparation Stores: Cooking Out-Eating In
    • Gunning for Whole Foods
    • X06: A New Gourmet Store Prototype
    • Drive-Thru Shopping
    • Store Swapping as a Retail Strategy
    • Futuristic Technologies
    • Wafer-Thin Color Displays for Packaging
    • Robots for Blind Shoppers
    • Recipes on Your iPod
    • Prototype Appliances Will Change the Way Consumers Cook

    APPENDIX: Addresses of Selected Industry Associations and Retailers

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