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The Future of Food Retailing in the U.S.
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Mar 1, 2006
262 Pages - Pub ID: LA1152349
Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.
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Chapter 1: Executive Summary
- Scope and Methodology
- Scope of Report
- Report Methodology
- Retail Channels
- Overview: The Competitive Landscape
- Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
- Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
- Merging vs. Emerging Channels
- Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends,
and Shopping Behavior
- Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
- Specialty Food Consumers
- Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
- Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
- Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
- Competition from Foodservice Grows
- Convenience as a Market Driver
- The Wellness Factor
- Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
- Channel Surfing
- Retail Strategies
- Location, Location, Location
- Dominate—Or Get Out
- Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
- Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
- Self-Service vs. More Service
- Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
- Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
- Targeting Ethnic Shoppers
- No “One Size Fits All”
- Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants
- Technology
- Technology a Priority
- The METRO Future Store
- The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina
- Emerging Technologies
- Looking Ahead
- Trends and Opportunities
- Futuristic Technologies
Chapter 2: Retail Channels
- Overview: The Competitive Landscape
- Definition of Retail Channels
- FMI Definitions of Store Formats
- Traditional Grocery Stores
- Non-Traditional Grocery Stores
- Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
- Market Share Shifts from Traditional Grocery Channels to Value Channels
- Total Grocery Sales to Grow 12.5% by 2009, to $909 Billion
- Food and Beverages Account for Half of Grocery Sales
- Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
- Table 2-1: Competitive Profiles of Retail Food and Beverage Channels, 2005
- Merging vs. Emerging Channels
- Recent Mergers and Acquisitions
- Albertson's Sold
- Winn-Dixie in Reorganization
- European Investors Eye American Food Retailers
- Traditional Grocery Channels
- Supermarkets on the Defensive
- Table 2-2: Top 10 U.S. Supermarket Chains by Retail Dollar Sales, 2004 (in millions)
- Conventional Supermarket Chains Are Regional Players
- Traditional Supermarkets Caught in the Middle
- Ways to Compete Effectively Against Supercenters
- Playing Both Ends Against the Middle
- Oil Crunch Could Benefit Supermarkets
- Ethnic Food Markets Evolving
- Limited Assortment Chains Making Waves
- Natural Foods Stores Challenge Conventional Supermarkets
- Gourmet/Specialty Stores
- Value Channels
- Supercenters Gaining Ground
- Wal-Mart Is the Nation’s Largest Food Retailer
- Moving on Target
- Meijer the Regional Supercenter Pioneer
- Kmart Becoming an Also-Ran in Food
- Supercenters Face Community Opposition
- Warehouse Clubs Proliferating
- Dollar Stores Adding More Food to Their Product Mix
- Convenience Channels
- C-stores Seek to Broaden Their Appeal
- Drugstores Also Compete on Convenience Front
- Alternative Channels
- Vending Machines Offer Convenience 24/7
- Other Alternative Channels Target Impulse Sales
- Home Depot to Open Convenience Stores
- Online Shopping: A Renaissance for Online Grocers
Chapter 3: Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends,
and Shopping Behavior
- Consumer Demographics
- Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
- Baby Boomers
- Table 3-1: Projected Population of the United States by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010 (in thousands)
- Echo Boomers
- Generation X
- Kids and Teenagers
- Yoga Mamas
- The Role of Gender
- Specialty Food Consumers
- The Multicultural Marketplace
- Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
- Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
- Hispanics
- How to Not Get Lost in Translation
- African Americans
- Asian Americans
- Consumers of Kosher and Halal Foods
- Lifestyle Trends
- Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
- Consumers Spend Less Time in the Kitchen
- Competition from Foodservice Grows
- More Eat In with Takeout
- Desktop Dining the New Way of Life
- Convenience as a Market Driver
- The Wellness Factor
- Variations in Consumer Attitudes About Eating by Retail Channel
- Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
- Ethical Shopping
- “Premiumization”: A Taste for Luxury
- Quality of Shopping Experience
- Consumer Shopping Behavior
- Channel Surfing
- Table 3-2: % of Households Buying by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003
- Shopping Frequency
- Figure 3-1: Average Trips Per Shopper Per Month by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003
- Shopping Trip Patterns
- What Consumers Want
- Shopper Demographics by Channel
- Simmons Analysis
- Supermarket Shoppers
- Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shoppers
- Convenience Store Shoppers
- Drugstore Shoppers
- Consumer Attitudes Toward Cooking and Food Shopping
- The Impact of In-Store Advertising
- Table 3-3: Supermarket/Food Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-4: Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-5: Convenience Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-6: Drugstore Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-7: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Really Enjoy Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-8: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try New Recipes, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-9: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Kitchen Is the Most Important Room in My Home, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-10: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try Out New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-11: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Usually First to Try New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-12: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Enjoy Eating Foreign Foods, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-13: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Try to Eat Gourmet Food Whenever I Can, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-14: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Look for the Freshest Ingredients, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-15: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Easy to Prepare Foods Are My Favorite, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-16: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Often Eat Store-Made, Pre-Cooked Meals, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-17: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Prefer Fast Food to Home Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-18: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shopping for Groceries Is a Bore, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-19: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shop for Specials or Bargains, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-20: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Always Look Out for Special Offers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-21: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on the Floor, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-22: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Messages/Offers at the Shelf, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-23: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Overhead Aisle Markers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-24: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on Shopping Cart, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-25: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Demonstrations, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-26: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Samples, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-27: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Computerized Information/Coupon Center, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-28: Shopper Indexes by Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: On the Internet, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-29: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Announcements In Store, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-30: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Radio/Public Address Announcements, 2005 (U.S. adults)
- Table 3-31: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Video Monitor Displays, 2005 (U.S. adults)
Chapter 4: Retail Strategies
- Location, Location, Location
- Dominate—Or Get Out
- When Smaller Is Better and Less Is More
- Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
- In Europe, Hypermarkets Losing Ground
- Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
- Razor-Thin Margins Are Standard Operating Procedure
- Supermarket Slotting Fees: Will They Go by the Wayside?
- Loyalty Programs
- Category Management Roles Shifting
- Self-Service vs. More Service
- Self-Service Checkout
- Home Delivery
Merchandise Solutions
- Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
- Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
- Merchandising Health
- Targeting Ethnic Shoppers
Lifestyle Stores & Other New Formats
- No “One Size Fits All”
- Lifestyle Stores
- Unusual Layouts
- Focusing on the Perimeter
- Building Up Takeout
- Re-Centering on the Center Store
- Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants
- Samples and Demos Becoming More Widespread
Long-Term Solutions
- Retail Strategies That Work
Chapter 5: Technology
- The Store of the Future
- Technology a Priority
- The METRO Future Store
- Personal Shopping Assistants (PSAs)
- Self-Checkout
- Smart Loyalty Card
- Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
- Smart Tags
- Intelligent Scales
- Interactive Information Terminals
- Everywhere Display
- Electronic Advertising Displays
- Electronic Shelf Labels
- Never-Empty Smart Shelves
- Employee Personal Digital Assistants (PDAs)
- Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN)
- Test Results
- The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina
- Emerging Technologies
- Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
- Thumbs Up for Biometrics
- Personal Shopping Assistants/Smart Carts
Hand-Held Registers
Interactive Kiosks
- In-Store TV Advertising
- Giant and Stop & Shop Offer Consumers Free WiFi
Chapter 6: Retailer Profiles
- Trend Profile: 7-Eleven, Inc.
- World’s Largest Convenience Store Chain
Trend Profile: 99 Ranch Market
Trend Profile: Amazon.com
- The Online Bookseller Goes Gourmet
Trend Profile: Bloom, A Food Lion Market
- The High-Tech Store to Watch
- Another Food Lion Concept: Bottom Dollar
Trend Profile: Costco Wholesale Corp.
- Overview
- Fast Turn, Low Markup Create Competitive Edge
- Focus Is Marketing, Not Advertising
- How Far Can Costco Grow?
Trend Profile: Dollar General Corp.
- The Dollar Store Leader—7,800 Stores and Growing
- Growth Strategy
Trend Profile: FreshDirect, Inc.
Trend Profile: Publix Sabor
- Targeting Florida’s Latino Population
Trend Profile: Safeway, Inc.
- New Lifestyle Positioning
- New Lifestyle Format Stores
- Extensive Private-Label Program
- Safeway.com
- Safeway’s Wellness Initiatives
Trend Profile: Sam’s Club
Trend Profile: Sheetz, Inc.
- Convenience Stores Go Upscale
Trend Profile: Target
Trend Profile: Trader Joe’s Co., Inc.
- The Offbeat Grocery Chain
Trend Profile: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.
- Overview
- Success
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and Controversy
- Supercenters
- Neighborhood Market Stores
- Private Label and More
- Tailoring Merchandise Mix to Local Tastes
- Aggressive Growth Strategy: Wal-Mart Plans to Get Even Bigger
- Pioneering Technological Advancements
Trend Profile: Wegmans Food Markets, Inc.
- The Quintessential Upscale Supermarket
Trend Profile: Whole Foods Market, Inc.
- Overview
- Product Selection and Private Label
- Growth Strategy
- Looking Ahead
Chapter 7: Looking Ahead
- Meal Preparation Stores: Cooking Out-Eating In
- Gunning for Whole Foods
- X06: A New Gourmet Store Prototype
- Drive-Thru Shopping
- Store Swapping as a Retail Strategy
- Futuristic Technologies
- Wafer-Thin Color Displays for Packaging
- Robots for Blind Shoppers
- Recipes on Your iPod
- Prototype Appliances Will Change the Way Consumers Cook
APPENDIX: Addresses of Selected Industry
Associations and Retailers
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